Traders assign the strongest probability to Jerome Powell departing as Federal Reserve Chair during May 15–22 because his current four-year term expires on May 15, 2026, triggering the standard process for presidential nomination and Senate confirmation of a successor. Recent developments include preparatory signals from the administration on potential nominees and Senate Banking Committee scheduling discussions, which have concentrated market focus on the immediate post-expiration window. The following week of May 23–29 reflects secondary odds for any brief procedural delays in hearings or votes. This positioning tracks historical patterns for Federal Reserve leadership changes at term end while leaving room for confirmation timelines or executive actions that could shift the exact departure date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 50.0%
May 23–29 31.4%
May 30–June 5 5.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$172,108 ปริมาณ
$172,108 ปริมาณ
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
50%
May 23–29
31%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 50.0%
May 23–29 31.4%
May 30–June 5 5.2%
June 6–12 2.6%
$172,108 ปริมาณ
$172,108 ปริมาณ
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
$65,214 ปริมาณ
50%
May 23–29
$8,443 ปริมาณ
31%
May 30–June 5
$9,161 ปริมาณ
5%
June 6–12
$9,109 ปริมาณ
3%
June 13–19
$8,855 ปริมาณ
2%
June 20–26
$10,436 ปริมาณ
1%
June 27–July 3
$6,326 ปริมาณ
1%
After July 3
$17,613 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign the strongest probability to Jerome Powell departing as Federal Reserve Chair during May 15–22 because his current four-year term expires on May 15, 2026, triggering the standard process for presidential nomination and Senate confirmation of a successor. Recent developments include preparatory signals from the administration on potential nominees and Senate Banking Committee scheduling discussions, which have concentrated market focus on the immediate post-expiration window. The following week of May 23–29 reflects secondary odds for any brief procedural delays in hearings or votes. This positioning tracks historical patterns for Federal Reserve leadership changes at term end while leaving room for confirmation timelines or executive actions that could shift the exact departure date.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$172,108วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign the strongest probability to Jerome Powell departing as Federal Reserve Chair during May 15–22 because his current four-year term expires on May 15, 2026, triggering the standard process for presidential nomination and Senate confirmation of a successor. Recent developments include preparatory signals from the administration on potential nominees and Senate Banking Committee scheduling discussions, which have concentrated market focus on the immediate post-expiration window. The following week of May 23–29 reflects secondary odds for any brief procedural delays in hearings or votes. This positioning tracks historical patterns for Federal Reserve leadership changes at term end while leaving room for confirmation timelines or executive actions that could shift the exact departure date.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$172,108วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the strongest probability to Jerome Powell departing as Federal Reserve Chair during May 15–22 because his current four-year term expires on May 15, 2026, triggering the standard process for presidential nomination and Senate confirmation of a successor. Recent developments include preparatory signals from the administration on potential nominees and Senate Banking Committee scheduling discussions, which have concentrated market focus on the immediate post-expiration window. The following week of May 23–29 reflects secondary odds for any brief procedural delays in hearings or votes. This positioning tracks historical patterns for Federal Reserve leadership changes at term end while leaving room for confirmation timelines or executive actions that could shift the exact departure date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย