U.S. military operations against Iran since February 2026 have centered on airstrikes, missile intercepts, and naval actions to degrade capabilities and secure the Strait of Hormuz, without committing large-scale ground forces for occupation. The Trump administration has prioritized air and sea power, sanctions, blockades, and intermediary negotiations over invasion, amid munitions constraints, high logistical barriers in Iran’s terrain, and a focus on achievable objectives like missile and nuclear threats. Ceasefire efforts, the June memorandum of understanding, and renewed economic pressure in August reflect trader consensus that escalation to boots-on-the-ground remains unlikely before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะรุกรานอิหร่านก่อนปี 2027 หรือไม่?
สหรัฐฯจะรุกรานอิหร่านก่อนปี 2027 หรือไม่?
ใช่
17% โอกาส
$58,581,145 ปริมาณ
$58,581,145 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
17% โอกาส
$58,581,145 ปริมาณ
$58,581,145 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. military operations against Iran since February 2026 have centered on airstrikes, missile intercepts, and naval actions to degrade capabilities and secure the Strait of Hormuz, without committing large-scale ground forces for occupation. The Trump administration has prioritized air and sea power, sanctions, blockades, and intermediary negotiations over invasion, amid munitions constraints, high logistical barriers in Iran’s terrain, and a focus on achievable objectives like missile and nuclear threats. Ceasefire efforts, the June memorandum of understanding, and renewed economic pressure in August reflect trader consensus that escalation to boots-on-the-ground remains unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,581,145วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. military operations against Iran since February 2026 have centered on airstrikes, missile intercepts, and naval actions to degrade capabilities and secure the Strait of Hormuz, without committing large-scale ground forces for occupation. The Trump administration has prioritized air and sea power, sanctions, blockades, and intermediary negotiations over invasion, amid munitions constraints, high logistical barriers in Iran’s terrain, and a focus on achievable objectives like missile and nuclear threats. Ceasefire efforts, the June memorandum of understanding, and renewed economic pressure in August reflect trader consensus that escalation to boots-on-the-ground remains unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,581,145วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. military operations against Iran since February 2026 have centered on airstrikes, missile intercepts, and naval actions to degrade capabilities and secure the Strait of Hormuz, without committing large-scale ground forces for occupation. The Trump administration has prioritized air and sea power, sanctions, blockades, and intermediary negotiations over invasion, amid munitions constraints, high logistical barriers in Iran’s terrain, and a focus on achievable objectives like missile and nuclear threats. Ceasefire efforts, the June memorandum of understanding, and renewed economic pressure in August reflect trader consensus that escalation to boots-on-the-ground remains unlikely before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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