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Politika·Florida

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Florida

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Yen Bailey 57%

Amanda Green 19%

Brice Barnes 9.5%

Nic Zateslo 8.0%

Polymarket

$50,493 Vol.

Yen Bailey 57%

Amanda Green 19%

Brice Barnes 9.5%

Nic Zateslo 8.0%

Polymarket

$50,493 Vol.

Yen Bailey

$19,462 Vol.

57%

Amanda Green

$11,417 Vol.

19%

Brice Barnes

$6,689 Vol.

10%

Nic Zateslo

$12,947 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Yen Bailey holds the strongest position in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s open 2nd Congressional District, driven by her status as the 2024 nominee, established fundraising, and ballot qualification through voter signatures. Neal Dunn’s retirement created an open seat spanning the Panhandle to Tallahassee, drawing challengers including Brice Barnes, Amanda Green, and Nic Zateslo, each with local ties and community or professional backgrounds. The multi-candidate field and limited polling keep trader probabilities clustered, reflecting uncertainty over turnout among Democratic voters in a historically Republican-leaning district. Late endorsements, final fundraising reports, or strong debate performances in the final days could shift momentum ahead of primary results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,493
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Yen Bailey holds the strongest position in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s open 2nd Congressional District, driven by her status as the 2024 nominee, established fundraising, and ballot qualification through voter signatures. Neal Dunn’s retirement created an open seat spanning the Panhandle to Tallahassee, drawing challengers including Brice Barnes, Amanda Green, and Nic Zateslo, each with local ties and community or professional backgrounds. The multi-candidate field and limited polling keep trader probabilities clustered, reflecting uncertainty over turnout among Democratic voters in a historically Republican-leaning district. Late endorsements, final fundraising reports, or strong debate performances in the final days could shift momentum ahead of primary results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,493
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Yen Bailey" sa 57%, sinusundan ng "Amanda Green" sa 19%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 57¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $50.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 26, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Yen Bailey" sa 57%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Amanda Green" sa 19%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.