Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14, driven by real-time observations from stations like Subang Airport confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 35°C (95°F) under clear skies and passing clouds, aligning with MetMalaysia's forecast of no rain and a 34–35°C maximum range for the district. This reflects the equatorial city's tropical climate dynamics, where May's dry season—characterized by high solar insolation, low humidity around 50–60%, and weak winds—routinely pushes highs to 32–35°C, with historical May averages near 33°C occasionally exceeded on rain-free days. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon convective burst delaying thunderstorms and enabling a 36°C spike before sunset, or post hoc data revisions from official monitors, though model ensembles and diurnal cooling trends make these low-likelihood events. Resolution hinges on final daily maximum from Malaysian Meteorological Department records.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$35,512 Vol.
$35,512 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$35,512 Vol.
$35,512 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14, driven by real-time observations from stations like Subang Airport confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 35°C (95°F) under clear skies and passing clouds, aligning with MetMalaysia's forecast of no rain and a 34–35°C maximum range for the district. This reflects the equatorial city's tropical climate dynamics, where May's dry season—characterized by high solar insolation, low humidity around 50–60%, and weak winds—routinely pushes highs to 32–35°C, with historical May averages near 33°C occasionally exceeded on rain-free days. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon convective burst delaying thunderstorms and enabling a 36°C spike before sunset, or post hoc data revisions from official monitors, though model ensembles and diurnal cooling trends make these low-likelihood events. Resolution hinges on final daily maximum from Malaysian Meteorological Department records.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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