India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 39°C on May 14 under mainly clear skies transitioning to fully clear, driving the 96.5% trader consensus for 39°C or below as reflected in Polymarket odds. This strong implied probability stems from yesterday's observed high of 38.1°C (1.7°C below normal), current 8:30 IST reading of 29.2°C with 57% relative humidity and light easterly winds, and model consensus indicating stable boundary layer conditions limiting convective heating despite high solar insolation. Recent below-normal trends in Uttar Pradesh absent heatwave designations further bolster positioning against May climatological averages near 40°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged calm winds enhancing surface heating or urban effects at Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport station (resolution source via Wunderground), with intraday hourly data pivotal.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
39°C or below 97.8%
40°C 3.0%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$22,722 Vol.
$22,722 Vol.
May 14, 2026
39°C or below
98%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
39°C or below 97.8%
40°C 3.0%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$22,722 Vol.
$22,722 Vol.
May 14, 2026
39°C or below
$3,969 Vol.
98%
40°C
$2,788 Vol.
3%
41°C
$3,242 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$2,398 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$2,654 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$1,703 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$669 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$827 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$1,006 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$2,512 Vol.
<1%
49°C or higher
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 39°C on May 14 under mainly clear skies transitioning to fully clear, driving the 96.5% trader consensus for 39°C or below as reflected in Polymarket odds. This strong implied probability stems from yesterday's observed high of 38.1°C (1.7°C below normal), current 8:30 IST reading of 29.2°C with 57% relative humidity and light easterly winds, and model consensus indicating stable boundary layer conditions limiting convective heating despite high solar insolation. Recent below-normal trends in Uttar Pradesh absent heatwave designations further bolster positioning against May climatological averages near 40°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged calm winds enhancing surface heating or urban effects at Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport station (resolution source via Wunderground), with intraday hourly data pivotal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$22,722Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 39°C on May 14 under mainly clear skies transitioning to fully clear, driving the 96.5% trader consensus for 39°C or below as reflected in Polymarket odds. This strong implied probability stems from yesterday's observed high of 38.1°C (1.7°C below normal), current 8:30 IST reading of 29.2°C with 57% relative humidity and light easterly winds, and model consensus indicating stable boundary layer conditions limiting convective heating despite high solar insolation. Recent below-normal trends in Uttar Pradesh absent heatwave designations further bolster positioning against May climatological averages near 40°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged calm winds enhancing surface heating or urban effects at Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport station (resolution source via Wunderground), with intraday hourly data pivotal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,722Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position Lucknow's maximum temperature at 39°C on May 14 under mainly clear skies transitioning to fully clear, driving the 96.5% trader consensus for 39°C or below as reflected in Polymarket odds. This strong implied probability stems from yesterday's observed high of 38.1°C (1.7°C below normal), current 8:30 IST reading of 29.2°C with 57% relative humidity and light easterly winds, and model consensus indicating stable boundary layer conditions limiting convective heating despite high solar insolation. Recent below-normal trends in Uttar Pradesh absent heatwave designations further bolster positioning against May climatological averages near 40°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged calm winds enhancing surface heating or urban effects at Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport station (resolution source via Wunderground), with intraday hourly data pivotal.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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