Latest forecast guidance from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European models shows a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-May and explains the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 22°C. Traders are monitoring real-time observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where afternoon readings will determine resolution. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could keep temperatures at or below 21°C, while unexpected clear conditions and enhanced solar heating remain the only realistic paths to 23°C or higher before sunset.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 98.2%
23°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,423 Vol.
$46,423 Vol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
98%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 98.2%
23°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,423 Vol.
$46,423 Vol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,647 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,373 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,601 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$7,256 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,995 Vol.
98%
23°C
$8,116 Vol.
1%
24°C
$4,287 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,959 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,588 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,214 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European models shows a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-May and explains the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 22°C. Traders are monitoring real-time observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where afternoon readings will determine resolution. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could keep temperatures at or below 21°C, while unexpected clear conditions and enhanced solar heating remain the only realistic paths to 23°C or higher before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$46,423Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European models shows a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-May and explains the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 22°C. Traders are monitoring real-time observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where afternoon readings will determine resolution. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could keep temperatures at or below 21°C, while unexpected clear conditions and enhanced solar heating remain the only realistic paths to 23°C or higher before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$46,423Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDLatest forecast guidance from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European models shows a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-May and explains the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 22°C. Traders are monitoring real-time observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where afternoon readings will determine resolution. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could keep temperatures at or below 21°C, while unexpected clear conditions and enhanced solar heating remain the only realistic paths to 23°C or higher before sunset.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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