Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 14 at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport reaching 23°C or below, driven by observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration showing peaks around 19-20°C. Persistent cloud cover, breezy northerly winds, and a cool air mass over Shandong have suppressed solar heating, with current METAR readings at the airport confirming 19°C amid 73% relative humidity. Historical mid-May averages hover near 21°C, but today's conditions align with cooler analogs. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and southerly warm advection before sunset, though model ensembles show no such signals; final official daily high expected soon from CMA.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$18,330 Vol.
$18,330 Vol.
23°C or below
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$18,330 Vol.
$18,330 Vol.
23°C or below
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 14 at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport reaching 23°C or below, driven by observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration showing peaks around 19-20°C. Persistent cloud cover, breezy northerly winds, and a cool air mass over Shandong have suppressed solar heating, with current METAR readings at the airport confirming 19°C amid 73% relative humidity. Historical mid-May averages hover near 21°C, but today's conditions align with cooler analogs. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and southerly warm advection before sunset, though model ensembles show no such signals; final official daily high expected soon from CMA.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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