Skip to main content
icon for Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politika·Main Election

Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politika·Main Election

Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place

Raimundo Moreira 38%

Eliziane Gama 37%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 34%

Fufuca 28%

Polymarket
BAGO

Raimundo Moreira 38%

Eliziane Gama 37%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 34%

Fufuca 28%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$0 Vol.

23%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s 2026 Senate race reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, including incumbents Eliziane Gama (PT) and Weverton Rocha (PDT) alongside high-profile challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO). Recent Ippi polling released in mid-August shows Sarney leading while four names remain within the margin of error for the second vacancy, driven by voter indecision and regional alliances. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in the ballot and sharpening competition for the remaining seat. Trader consensus prices these contenders closely because modest shifts in turnout, last-minute endorsements, or state-level coalition deals could reorder the lower rankings before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s 2026 Senate race reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, including incumbents Eliziane Gama (PT) and Weverton Rocha (PDT) alongside high-profile challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO). Recent Ippi polling released in mid-August shows Sarney leading while four names remain within the margin of error for the second vacancy, driven by voter indecision and regional alliances. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in the ballot and sharpening competition for the remaining seat. Trader consensus prices these contenders closely because modest shifts in turnout, last-minute endorsements, or state-level coalition deals could reorder the lower rankings before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

59%
icon for Will Major Fábio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Major Fábio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

26%
icon for Will Mauro Mendes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Will Mauro Mendes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

27%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Raimundo Moreira" sa 38%, sinusundan ng "Eliziane Gama" sa 37%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 38¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 38% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay "Raimundo Moreira" sa 38%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 38% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Eliziane Gama" sa 37%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.