Wyoming’s 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Mark Gordon stepped aside. State senator Eric Barlow secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary, defeating state superintendent Megan Degenfelder and other challengers to become the nominee. The Democratic side nominated perennial candidate Kenneth Casner with minimal opposition. Wyoming has not elected a Democrat to statewide office since 2006, and the state’s consistent Republican lean in federal and state contests produces large structural advantages for the GOP nominee. With the general election still more than two months away on November 3, traders price the Republican outcome near certainty, reflecting both the primary outcome and longstanding partisan fundamentals. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or health event tied to the Republican nominee remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$10,915 Vol.
$10,915 Vol.

Republican
97%

Democrat
3%
$10,915 Vol.
$10,915 Vol.

Republican
97%

Democrat
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming’s 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term-limited Republican incumbent Mark Gordon stepped aside. State senator Eric Barlow secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary, defeating state superintendent Megan Degenfelder and other challengers to become the nominee. The Democratic side nominated perennial candidate Kenneth Casner with minimal opposition. Wyoming has not elected a Democrat to statewide office since 2006, and the state’s consistent Republican lean in federal and state contests produces large structural advantages for the GOP nominee. With the general election still more than two months away on November 3, traders price the Republican outcome near certainty, reflecting both the primary outcome and longstanding partisan fundamentals. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or health event tied to the Republican nominee remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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