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Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

icon for Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

$11,406 Обс.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$11,406 Обс.

Polymarket

Nick Begich III

$979 Обс.

95%

Matt Schultz

$744 Обс.

95%

Bill Hill

$3,027 Обс.

90%

John Williams

$1,937 Обс.

47%

Gavin Solomon

$2,187 Обс.

25%

Matthew "Bronco" Williams

$2,532 Обс.

24%

The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, for Alaska’s at-large House seat, with the top finishers advancing to the ranked-choice general election. Begich’s strong 2024 victory and consistent polling leads position him as the clear frontrunner among traders, while the field includes Democratic challengers such as pastor Matt Schultz and perennial candidate Eric Hafner, plus independents like commercial fisherman Bill Hill. Candidate filing remains open until the June 27 withdrawal deadline, after which the ballot will finalize; former Rep. Mary Peltola’s decision to run for Senate instead of challenging again has further consolidated Republican support behind the incumbent. Recent surveys show Begich maintaining double-digit advantages in head-to-head and multicandidate scenarios, reflecting limited organized opposition and Alaska’s partisan leanings.

The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Обсяг
$11,406
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, for Alaska’s at-large House seat, with the top finishers advancing to the ranked-choice general election. Begich’s strong 2024 victory and consistent polling leads position him as the clear frontrunner among traders, while the field includes Democratic challengers such as pastor Matt Schultz and perennial candidate Eric Hafner, plus independents like commercial fisherman Bill Hill. Candidate filing remains open until the June 27 withdrawal deadline, after which the ballot will finalize; former Rep. Mary Peltola’s decision to run for Senate instead of challenging again has further consolidated Republican support behind the incumbent. Recent surveys show Begich maintaining double-digit advantages in head-to-head and multicandidate scenarios, reflecting limited organized opposition and Alaska’s partisan leanings.

The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Обсяг
$11,406
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Alaska At-Large Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Nick Begich III» з 95%, далі «Matt Schultz» з 95%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Alaska At-Large Primary Winners» згенерував $11.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 27, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Alaska At-Large Primary Winners», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Alaska At-Large Primary Winners» — «Nick Begich III» з 95%. Наступний — «Matt Schultz» з 95%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Alaska At-Large Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.