Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.1% monthly gain and 3.4% annual rate, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts projecting 3.36% for August, anchor trader expectations for the year-over-year print near 3.3–3.4%. Moderating energy prices from prior shocks, stable shelter contributions, and core inflation holding around 2.5% support the tight contest between these leading outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on incremental cooling amid lingering tariff and labor-market effects, with the August release scheduled for September 11 likely to refine probabilities ahead of the September FOMC meeting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3.4% 42%
3.3% 34%
3.5% 14%
3.2% 10.0%
≤2.9%
2%
3.0%
5%
3.1%
4%
3.2%
10%
3.3%
34%
3.4%
42%
3.5%
14%
3.6%
4%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
1%
3.4% 42%
3.3% 34%
3.5% 14%
3.2% 10.0%
≤2.9%
2%
3.0%
5%
3.1%
4%
3.2%
10%
3.3%
34%
3.4%
42%
3.5%
14%
3.6%
4%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a 0.1% monthly gain and 3.4% annual rate, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts projecting 3.36% for August, anchor trader expectations for the year-over-year print near 3.3–3.4%. Moderating energy prices from prior shocks, stable shelter contributions, and core inflation holding around 2.5% support the tight contest between these leading outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on incremental cooling amid lingering tariff and labor-market effects, with the August release scheduled for September 11 likely to refine probabilities ahead of the September FOMC meeting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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