Recent July 2026 core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading amid continued moderation in shelter costs and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38% for August, aligning with consensus expectations of further easing toward the 2.3-2.4% range as energy effects fade and goods prices remain soft. The closely matched 38.5% and 35% probabilities on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether the monthly pace will sustain the recent 0.2% trend or dip lower, with upcoming labor-market and retail-sales releases serving as key signals ahead of the September 11 print. Federal Reserve communications at the 3.50%-3.75% funds rate underscore the data's role in shaping rate expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.4% 39%
2.3% 35%
2.5% 21%
2.7% 5.7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.0%
1%
2.1%
<1%
2.2%
5%
2.3%
35%
2.4%
39%
2.5%
21%
2.6%
4%
2.7%
6%
2.8%
3%
≥2.9%
1%
2.4% 39%
2.3% 35%
2.5% 21%
2.7% 5.7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.0%
$335 Обс.
1%
2.1%
$274 Обс.
<1%
2.2%
$375 Обс.
5%
2.3%
$373 Обс.
35%
2.4%
$2,125 Обс.
39%
2.5%
$231 Обс.
21%
2.6%
$878 Обс.
4%
2.7%
$753 Обс.
6%
2.8%
$881 Обс.
3%
≥2.9%
$421 Обс.
1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading amid continued moderation in shelter costs and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38% for August, aligning with consensus expectations of further easing toward the 2.3-2.4% range as energy effects fade and goods prices remain soft. The closely matched 38.5% and 35% probabilities on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether the monthly pace will sustain the recent 0.2% trend or dip lower, with upcoming labor-market and retail-sales releases serving as key signals ahead of the September 11 print. Federal Reserve communications at the 3.50%-3.75% funds rate underscore the data's role in shaping rate expectations.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,647Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading amid continued moderation in shelter costs and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38% for August, aligning with consensus expectations of further easing toward the 2.3-2.4% range as energy effects fade and goods prices remain soft. The closely matched 38.5% and 35% probabilities on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether the monthly pace will sustain the recent 0.2% trend or dip lower, with upcoming labor-market and retail-sales releases serving as key signals ahead of the September 11 print. Federal Reserve communications at the 3.50%-3.75% funds rate underscore the data's role in shaping rate expectations.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$6,647Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading amid continued moderation in shelter costs and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38% for August, aligning with consensus expectations of further easing toward the 2.3-2.4% range as energy effects fade and goods prices remain soft. The closely matched 38.5% and 35% probabilities on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether the monthly pace will sustain the recent 0.2% trend or dip lower, with upcoming labor-market and retail-sales releases serving as key signals ahead of the September 11 print. Federal Reserve communications at the 3.50%-3.75% funds rate underscore the data's role in shaping rate expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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