Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's dominance in Florida's 18th Congressional District, an R+14 seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others, drives trader consensus implying an 82.5% probability of a Republican victory. Franklin won re-election in 2024 with 65% amid weak opposition, bolstered by $819,000 cash on hand as of late March while Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong report zero fundraising. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, with ratings unchanged as of early May. August 18 primaries will select nominees, but the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge sustain GOP favoritism.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-18 House Election Winner
FL-18 House Election Winner
$13,569 Обс.
$13,569 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$13,569 Обс.
$13,569 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,382 Обс.
83%
Democratic Party
$6,187 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's dominance in Florida's 18th Congressional District, an R+14 seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others, drives trader consensus implying an 82.5% probability of a Republican victory. Franklin won re-election in 2024 with 65% amid weak opposition, bolstered by $819,000 cash on hand as of late March while Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong report zero fundraising. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, with ratings unchanged as of early May. August 18 primaries will select nominees, but the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge sustain GOP favoritism.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,569Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's dominance in Florida's 18th Congressional District, an R+14 seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others, drives trader consensus implying an 82.5% probability of a Republican victory. Franklin won re-election in 2024 with 65% amid weak opposition, bolstered by $819,000 cash on hand as of late March while Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong report zero fundraising. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, with ratings unchanged as of early May. August 18 primaries will select nominees, but the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge sustain GOP favoritism.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,569Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin's dominance in Florida's 18th Congressional District, an R+14 seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others, drives trader consensus implying an 82.5% probability of a Republican victory. Franklin won re-election in 2024 with 65% amid weak opposition, bolstered by $819,000 cash on hand as of late March while Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong report zero fundraising. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning, with ratings unchanged as of early May. August 18 primaries will select nominees, but the district's partisan lean and incumbency edge sustain GOP favoritism.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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