Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daytime high near 18°C in Ankara on May 17, driving the strong market consensus at 86% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with spring transitional patterns where typical May highs average 20–22°C but cooler northerly flow and afternoon cloud cover have suppressed temperatures. Official monitoring shows consistent guidance across ensembles with limited spread, favoring a peak below 19°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers. Recent observational data confirm the absence of strong warming aloft, reinforcing trader positioning while leaving modest room for minor upward revisions if insolation increases. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish meteorological stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
18°C 83%
19°C 10%
20°C 1.8%
21°C <1%
$45,615 Обс.
$45,615 Обс.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
76%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 83%
19°C 10%
20°C 1.8%
21°C <1%
$45,615 Обс.
$45,615 Обс.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$666 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$378 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$1,685 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$7,259 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$6,373 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$5,869 Обс.
76%
19°C
$4,478 Обс.
10%
20°C
$4,248 Обс.
2%
21°C
$6,120 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$4,532 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,125 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daytime high near 18°C in Ankara on May 17, driving the strong market consensus at 86% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with spring transitional patterns where typical May highs average 20–22°C but cooler northerly flow and afternoon cloud cover have suppressed temperatures. Official monitoring shows consistent guidance across ensembles with limited spread, favoring a peak below 19°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers. Recent observational data confirm the absence of strong warming aloft, reinforcing trader positioning while leaving modest room for minor upward revisions if insolation increases. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,615Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daytime high near 18°C in Ankara on May 17, driving the strong market consensus at 86% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with spring transitional patterns where typical May highs average 20–22°C but cooler northerly flow and afternoon cloud cover have suppressed temperatures. Official monitoring shows consistent guidance across ensembles with limited spread, favoring a peak below 19°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers. Recent observational data confirm the absence of strong warming aloft, reinforcing trader positioning while leaving modest room for minor upward revisions if insolation increases. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$45,615Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACCurrent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a daytime high near 18°C in Ankara on May 17, driving the strong market consensus at 86% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with spring transitional patterns where typical May highs average 20–22°C but cooler northerly flow and afternoon cloud cover have suppressed temperatures. Official monitoring shows consistent guidance across ensembles with limited spread, favoring a peak below 19°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers. Recent observational data confirm the absence of strong warming aloft, reinforcing trader positioning while leaving modest room for minor upward revisions if insolation increases. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish meteorological stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання