Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and a moderating southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs from global models show suppressed thermal profiles consistent with these conditions, placing the outcome well within historical May variability for similar synoptic setups. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model consensus, though minor upward revisions remain possible if rain bands clear earlier than projected or if localized urban heat-island effects push readings marginally higher at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,840 Обс.
$141,840 Обс.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,840 Обс.
$141,840 Обс.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$533 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$30,787 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$1,780 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$6,602 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$8,803 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$14,415 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$35,387 Обс.
100%
20°C
$17,491 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$6,289 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$8,753 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$11,000 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and a moderating southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs from global models show suppressed thermal profiles consistent with these conditions, placing the outcome well within historical May variability for similar synoptic setups. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model consensus, though minor upward revisions remain possible if rain bands clear earlier than projected or if localized urban heat-island effects push readings marginally higher at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$141,840Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and a moderating southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs from global models show suppressed thermal profiles consistent with these conditions, placing the outcome well within historical May variability for similar synoptic setups. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model consensus, though minor upward revisions remain possible if rain bands clear earlier than projected or if localized urban heat-island effects push readings marginally higher at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$141,840Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and a moderating southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs from global models show suppressed thermal profiles consistent with these conditions, placing the outcome well within historical May variability for similar synoptic setups. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model consensus, though minor upward revisions remain possible if rain bands clear earlier than projected or if localized urban heat-island effects push readings marginally higher at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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