Latest numerical weather prediction models from official agencies, including the China Meteorological Administration, converge on a daytime maximum of 19°C for Beijing today, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate springtime insolation, and light northeasterly winds limiting advection of warmer air masses. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing temperatures climbing steadily through the morning but remaining capped below 20°C. Trader sentiment has solidified around the 19°C outcome at 98.4% implied probability because deviations would require rapid shifts in model guidance or unexpected mesoscale features like localized heating. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading from Beijing Capital International Airport station, with final data expected within hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 98.5%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$68,173 Обс.
$68,173 Обс.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 98.5%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$68,173 Обс.
$68,173 Обс.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$517 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$640 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$1,765 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$6,574 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$8,776 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$14,280 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$8,297 Обс.
99%
20°C
$7,857 Обс.
1%
21°C
$5,432 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$7,360 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,673 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from official agencies, including the China Meteorological Administration, converge on a daytime maximum of 19°C for Beijing today, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate springtime insolation, and light northeasterly winds limiting advection of warmer air masses. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing temperatures climbing steadily through the morning but remaining capped below 20°C. Trader sentiment has solidified around the 19°C outcome at 98.4% implied probability because deviations would require rapid shifts in model guidance or unexpected mesoscale features like localized heating. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading from Beijing Capital International Airport station, with final data expected within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$68,173Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from official agencies, including the China Meteorological Administration, converge on a daytime maximum of 19°C for Beijing today, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate springtime insolation, and light northeasterly winds limiting advection of warmer air masses. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing temperatures climbing steadily through the morning but remaining capped below 20°C. Trader sentiment has solidified around the 19°C outcome at 98.4% implied probability because deviations would require rapid shifts in model guidance or unexpected mesoscale features like localized heating. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading from Beijing Capital International Airport station, with final data expected within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$68,173Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAALatest numerical weather prediction models from official agencies, including the China Meteorological Administration, converge on a daytime maximum of 19°C for Beijing today, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate springtime insolation, and light northeasterly winds limiting advection of warmer air masses. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing temperatures climbing steadily through the morning but remaining capped below 20°C. Trader sentiment has solidified around the 19°C outcome at 98.4% implied probability because deviations would require rapid shifts in model guidance or unexpected mesoscale features like localized heating. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading from Beijing Capital International Airport station, with final data expected within hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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