Trader consensus strongly supports a daily high of exactly 14°C in Buenos Aires on May 17, driven by the latest consensus from global and regional forecast models projecting stable cool autumn conditions across the Río de la Plata region. Official guidance indicates maximum temperatures will remain capped near this level under a persistent high-pressure ridge limiting northerly warm-air advection, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs range from 15–19°C but recent observations trend cooler. This market-implied outcome reflects traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the data ahead of final verification. A realistic shift toward 15°C or higher would require an unanticipated model adjustment or localized warming not currently indicated in ensemble runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,296 Обс.
$37,296 Обс.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,296 Обс.
$37,296 Обс.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZTrader consensus strongly supports a daily high of exactly 14°C in Buenos Aires on May 17, driven by the latest consensus from global and regional forecast models projecting stable cool autumn conditions across the Río de la Plata region. Official guidance indicates maximum temperatures will remain capped near this level under a persistent high-pressure ridge limiting northerly warm-air advection, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs range from 15–19°C but recent observations trend cooler. This market-implied outcome reflects traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the data ahead of final verification. A realistic shift toward 15°C or higher would require an unanticipated model adjustment or localized warming not currently indicated in ensemble runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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