Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models shows southerly advection of warmer air masses over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C today. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by the thermal contrast between land and the East Sea, is expected to moderate peak readings and limit further warming. Historical May climatology for the region supports daily highs clustered around 29–31 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Traders have converged on the 30 °C bin at 100 % implied probability because afternoon observations at Gimhae International Airport station are tracking this narrow range. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could still push the recorded high to 31 °C, but current model consensus makes that outcome unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Busan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 17?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,353 Обс.
$49,353 Обс.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,353 Обс.
$49,353 Обс.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$2,533 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$936 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$944 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,473 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,007 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$4,814 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$4,599 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$8,722 Обс.
100%
31°C
$3,779 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$4,695 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$14,852 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models shows southerly advection of warmer air masses over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C today. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by the thermal contrast between land and the East Sea, is expected to moderate peak readings and limit further warming. Historical May climatology for the region supports daily highs clustered around 29–31 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Traders have converged on the 30 °C bin at 100 % implied probability because afternoon observations at Gimhae International Airport station are tracking this narrow range. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could still push the recorded high to 31 °C, but current model consensus makes that outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$49,353Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models shows southerly advection of warmer air masses over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C today. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by the thermal contrast between land and the East Sea, is expected to moderate peak readings and limit further warming. Historical May climatology for the region supports daily highs clustered around 29–31 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Traders have converged on the 30 °C bin at 100 % implied probability because afternoon observations at Gimhae International Airport station are tracking this narrow range. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could still push the recorded high to 31 °C, but current model consensus makes that outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$49,353Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKShort-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensemble models shows southerly advection of warmer air masses over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C today. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by the thermal contrast between land and the East Sea, is expected to moderate peak readings and limit further warming. Historical May climatology for the region supports daily highs clustered around 29–31 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Traders have converged on the 30 °C bin at 100 % implied probability because afternoon observations at Gimhae International Airport station are tracking this narrow range. A late-day shift in wind direction or reduced cloud cover could still push the recorded high to 31 °C, but current model consensus makes that outcome unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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