Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from regional agencies have established a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge over the Cape Peninsula, supporting clear skies and light south-easterly flow that favors a daily maximum of 20°C at Cape Town International Airport. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where autumnal subsidence limits cloud development and keeps temperatures near seasonal norms of 18–21°C. Trader consensus has converged sharply on the 20°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability, reflecting consistent guidance across ensemble forecasts. Only an unexpected coastal low or increased marine layer stratus would realistically shift the maximum into adjacent brackets before official observations finalize.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$19,726 Обс.
$19,726 Обс.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$19,726 Обс.
$19,726 Обс.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$534 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$787 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$1,520 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$2,039 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$2,433 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$3,203 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,894 Обс.
100%
21°C
$2,038 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,622 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,737 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$924 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from regional agencies have established a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge over the Cape Peninsula, supporting clear skies and light south-easterly flow that favors a daily maximum of 20°C at Cape Town International Airport. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where autumnal subsidence limits cloud development and keeps temperatures near seasonal norms of 18–21°C. Trader consensus has converged sharply on the 20°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability, reflecting consistent guidance across ensemble forecasts. Only an unexpected coastal low or increased marine layer stratus would realistically shift the maximum into adjacent brackets before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,726Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from regional agencies have established a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge over the Cape Peninsula, supporting clear skies and light south-easterly flow that favors a daily maximum of 20°C at Cape Town International Airport. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where autumnal subsidence limits cloud development and keeps temperatures near seasonal norms of 18–21°C. Trader consensus has converged sharply on the 20°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability, reflecting consistent guidance across ensemble forecasts. Only an unexpected coastal low or increased marine layer stratus would realistically shift the maximum into adjacent brackets before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$19,726Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent numerical weather prediction model runs from regional agencies have established a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge over the Cape Peninsula, supporting clear skies and light south-easterly flow that favors a daily maximum of 20°C at Cape Town International Airport. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where autumnal subsidence limits cloud development and keeps temperatures near seasonal norms of 18–21°C. Trader consensus has converged sharply on the 20°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability, reflecting consistent guidance across ensemble forecasts. Only an unexpected coastal low or increased marine layer stratus would realistically shift the maximum into adjacent brackets before official observations finalize.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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