Recent short-range numerical weather prediction runs from agencies monitoring East Asian monsoon patterns position 31°C or below as the leading outcome for Chengdu's June 15 high, reflecting expected cloud cover, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under a steering flow that suppresses peak temperatures. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with model consensus showing only modest warming potential before any intensification of southerly flow. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily, as resolution hinges on official maximum observations, while noting that shifts in the next model cycle or unexpected clear skies could elevate the 32°C probability. Updated guidance is expected within hours from regional meteorological centers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 63%
32°C 27%
33°C 9%
34°C 4.3%
НОВЕ
$15,032 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,032 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
31°C or below
63%
32°C
27%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 63%
32°C 27%
33°C 9%
34°C 4.3%
НОВЕ
$15,032 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,032 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
31°C or below
$4,104 Обс.
63%
32°C
$1,367 Обс.
27%
33°C
$900 Обс.
9%
34°C
$1,095 Обс.
4%
35°C
$2,228 Обс.
1%
36°C
$2,035 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$1,162 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$647 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$525 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$548 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$442 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range numerical weather prediction runs from agencies monitoring East Asian monsoon patterns position 31°C or below as the leading outcome for Chengdu's June 15 high, reflecting expected cloud cover, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under a steering flow that suppresses peak temperatures. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with model consensus showing only modest warming potential before any intensification of southerly flow. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily, as resolution hinges on official maximum observations, while noting that shifts in the next model cycle or unexpected clear skies could elevate the 32°C probability. Updated guidance is expected within hours from regional meteorological centers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,032Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range numerical weather prediction runs from agencies monitoring East Asian monsoon patterns position 31°C or below as the leading outcome for Chengdu's June 15 high, reflecting expected cloud cover, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under a steering flow that suppresses peak temperatures. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with model consensus showing only modest warming potential before any intensification of southerly flow. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily, as resolution hinges on official maximum observations, while noting that shifts in the next model cycle or unexpected clear skies could elevate the 32°C probability. Updated guidance is expected within hours from regional meteorological centers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,032Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range numerical weather prediction runs from agencies monitoring East Asian monsoon patterns position 31°C or below as the leading outcome for Chengdu's June 15 high, reflecting expected cloud cover, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under a steering flow that suppresses peak temperatures. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with model consensus showing only modest warming potential before any intensification of southerly flow. Traders are weighting these forecasts heavily, as resolution hinges on official maximum observations, while noting that shifts in the next model cycle or unexpected clear skies could elevate the 32°C probability. Updated guidance is expected within hours from regional meteorological centers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання