Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu today, establishing this outcome as the sole market leader with near-certain implied odds. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor model uncertainty, but current conditions and resolution criteria based on official station observations leave little room for deviation. Traders will monitor the final afternoon measurement window for any last adjustments to steering flow or unexpected convective development that could shift the peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,468 Обс.
$66,468 Обс.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,468 Обс.
$66,468 Обс.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,364 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,745 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$3,055 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$5,042 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$5,971 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$6,250 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$6,422 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$9,437 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$11,326 Обс.
100%
32°C
$8,878 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,979 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu today, establishing this outcome as the sole market leader with near-certain implied odds. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor model uncertainty, but current conditions and resolution criteria based on official station observations leave little room for deviation. Traders will monitor the final afternoon measurement window for any last adjustments to steering flow or unexpected convective development that could shift the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$66,468Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu today, establishing this outcome as the sole market leader with near-certain implied odds. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor model uncertainty, but current conditions and resolution criteria based on official station observations leave little room for deviation. Traders will monitor the final afternoon measurement window for any last adjustments to steering flow or unexpected convective development that could shift the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$66,468Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu today, establishing this outcome as the sole market leader with near-certain implied odds. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor model uncertainty, but current conditions and resolution criteria based on official station observations leave little room for deviation. Traders will monitor the final afternoon measurement window for any last adjustments to steering flow or unexpected convective development that could shift the peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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