Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, alongside global models, have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C for Guangzhou today, driven by persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds that have moderated daytime heating across the Pearl River Delta. This consensus aligns with climatological May averages near 29°C but reflects localized suppression from patchy convection, keeping peak readings firmly in the mid-20s rather than allowing stronger insolation to push higher. With the market assigning near-certain implied probability to 27°C, traders are responding to verified station data and the narrow remaining window before daily resolution. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision at official sites could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 17?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,156 Обс.
$30,156 Обс.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,156 Обс.
$30,156 Обс.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, alongside global models, have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C for Guangzhou today, driven by persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds that have moderated daytime heating across the Pearl River Delta. This consensus aligns with climatological May averages near 29°C but reflects localized suppression from patchy convection, keeping peak readings firmly in the mid-20s rather than allowing stronger insolation to push higher. With the market assigning near-certain implied probability to 27°C, traders are responding to verified station data and the narrow remaining window before daily resolution. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision at official sites could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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