Current forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Guangzhou on May 18 most likely falling between 28°C and 30°C, consistent with the tightly grouped market-implied odds for those levels. This positioning reflects seasonal warming trends combined with variable atmospheric moisture and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating rates under the influence of regional circulation patterns. Ensemble predictions from global numerical models show modest spread in simulated wind and humidity profiles, creating genuine uncertainty around exact maximum values. Historical climatological data for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta place typical highs near 28°C, providing context for why small forecast shifts could resolve the outcome. Traders are watching the next model update cycles for refined guidance on these key variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 18?
29°C 30%
28°C 24%
30°C 24%
27°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
16%
28°C
24%
29°C
30%
30°C
24%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 30%
28°C 24%
30°C 24%
27°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$754 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$392 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,263 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,821 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$380 Обс.
7%
27°C
$403 Обс.
16%
28°C
$325 Обс.
24%
29°C
$582 Обс.
30%
30°C
$388 Обс.
24%
31°C
$313 Обс.
5%
32°C or higher
$851 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Guangzhou on May 18 most likely falling between 28°C and 30°C, consistent with the tightly grouped market-implied odds for those levels. This positioning reflects seasonal warming trends combined with variable atmospheric moisture and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating rates under the influence of regional circulation patterns. Ensemble predictions from global numerical models show modest spread in simulated wind and humidity profiles, creating genuine uncertainty around exact maximum values. Historical climatological data for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta place typical highs near 28°C, providing context for why small forecast shifts could resolve the outcome. Traders are watching the next model update cycles for refined guidance on these key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,470Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Guangzhou on May 18 most likely falling between 28°C and 30°C, consistent with the tightly grouped market-implied odds for those levels. This positioning reflects seasonal warming trends combined with variable atmospheric moisture and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating rates under the influence of regional circulation patterns. Ensemble predictions from global numerical models show modest spread in simulated wind and humidity profiles, creating genuine uncertainty around exact maximum values. Historical climatological data for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta place typical highs near 28°C, providing context for why small forecast shifts could resolve the outcome. Traders are watching the next model update cycles for refined guidance on these key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$8,470Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGCurrent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Guangzhou on May 18 most likely falling between 28°C and 30°C, consistent with the tightly grouped market-implied odds for those levels. This positioning reflects seasonal warming trends combined with variable atmospheric moisture and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating rates under the influence of regional circulation patterns. Ensemble predictions from global numerical models show modest spread in simulated wind and humidity profiles, creating genuine uncertainty around exact maximum values. Historical climatological data for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta place typical highs near 28°C, providing context for why small forecast shifts could resolve the outcome. Traders are watching the next model update cycles for refined guidance on these key variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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