Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Jeddah on June 15 center on a daily maximum near 37 °C, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities across the 36–38 °C outcomes. Mid-June climatology shows average highs of 36–37 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow, with Red Sea moisture occasionally moderating peak readings through sea-breeze effects. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing creates the observed 37.5 % chance for 38 °C or higher versus lower bins. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus any Saudi Meteorological Authority briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 15?
38°C or higher 40%
37°C 27%
36°C 24%
35°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
8%
36°C
24%
37°C
27%
38°C or higher
40%
38°C or higher 40%
37°C 27%
36°C 24%
35°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
8%
36°C
24%
37°C
27%
38°C or higher
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Jeddah on June 15 center on a daily maximum near 37 °C, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities across the 36–38 °C outcomes. Mid-June climatology shows average highs of 36–37 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow, with Red Sea moisture occasionally moderating peak readings through sea-breeze effects. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing creates the observed 37.5 % chance for 38 °C or higher versus lower bins. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus any Saudi Meteorological Authority briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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