Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a London maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology for southeast England, where typical daytime highs hover near 16–17°C amid transitional spring patterns. Strong model agreement across variables such as cloud thickness, wind backing, and surface heating leaves minimal room for deviation, though any late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection from the Atlantic could realistically lift readings to 19°C. Official Met Office hourly observations will confirm the final high and resolve the market, underscoring how real-time forecast updates shape trader consensus in these short-range temperature contracts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on May 17?
Highest temperature in London on May 17?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$165,748 Обс.
$165,748 Обс.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$165,748 Обс.
$165,748 Обс.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$997 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$1,915 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$8,287 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$12,717 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$13,309 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$19,210 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$26,785 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$35,877 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$20,108 Обс.
100%
19°C
$19,942 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a London maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology for southeast England, where typical daytime highs hover near 16–17°C amid transitional spring patterns. Strong model agreement across variables such as cloud thickness, wind backing, and surface heating leaves minimal room for deviation, though any late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection from the Atlantic could realistically lift readings to 19°C. Official Met Office hourly observations will confirm the final high and resolve the market, underscoring how real-time forecast updates shape trader consensus in these short-range temperature contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$165,748Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a London maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology for southeast England, where typical daytime highs hover near 16–17°C amid transitional spring patterns. Strong model agreement across variables such as cloud thickness, wind backing, and surface heating leaves minimal room for deviation, though any late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection from the Atlantic could realistically lift readings to 19°C. Official Met Office hourly observations will confirm the final high and resolve the market, underscoring how real-time forecast updates shape trader consensus in these short-range temperature contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$165,748Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a London maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology for southeast England, where typical daytime highs hover near 16–17°C amid transitional spring patterns. Strong model agreement across variables such as cloud thickness, wind backing, and surface heating leaves minimal room for deviation, though any late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection from the Atlantic could realistically lift readings to 19°C. Official Met Office hourly observations will confirm the final high and resolve the market, underscoring how real-time forecast updates shape trader consensus in these short-range temperature contracts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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