Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies highlight a strong high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating that supports a Madrid daily maximum near 36 °C on August 5. This aligns with observed trends from the past 48 hours, where temperatures have climbed steadily from 32–34 °C amid dry continental air masses and minimal moisture advection. Climatologically, early August highs average 32–33 °C, yet the current setup exceeds baseline due to amplified subsidence and surface warming; 35 °C and 37 °C remain plausible if afternoon mixing or slight model spread alters peak readings. Official AEMET updates and real-time station data will refine resolution by evening, with trader consensus reflecting these dynamical factors over historical norms.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 5?
36°C 79%
35°C 12%
37°C 12%
38°C <1%
$30,791 Обс.
$30,791 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
12%
36°C
79%
37°C
12%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 79%
35°C 12%
37°C 12%
38°C <1%
$30,791 Обс.
$30,791 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
$961 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$642 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$985 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$2,054 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$8,092 Обс.
12%
36°C
$5,093 Обс.
79%
37°C
$3,725 Обс.
12%
38°C
$1,679 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$1,153 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$935 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$5,474 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies highlight a strong high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating that supports a Madrid daily maximum near 36 °C on August 5. This aligns with observed trends from the past 48 hours, where temperatures have climbed steadily from 32–34 °C amid dry continental air masses and minimal moisture advection. Climatologically, early August highs average 32–33 °C, yet the current setup exceeds baseline due to amplified subsidence and surface warming; 35 °C and 37 °C remain plausible if afternoon mixing or slight model spread alters peak readings. Official AEMET updates and real-time station data will refine resolution by evening, with trader consensus reflecting these dynamical factors over historical norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,791Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies highlight a strong high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating that supports a Madrid daily maximum near 36 °C on August 5. This aligns with observed trends from the past 48 hours, where temperatures have climbed steadily from 32–34 °C amid dry continental air masses and minimal moisture advection. Climatologically, early August highs average 32–33 °C, yet the current setup exceeds baseline due to amplified subsidence and surface warming; 35 °C and 37 °C remain plausible if afternoon mixing or slight model spread alters peak readings. Official AEMET updates and real-time station data will refine resolution by evening, with trader consensus reflecting these dynamical factors over historical norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$30,791Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies highlight a strong high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating that supports a Madrid daily maximum near 36 °C on August 5. This aligns with observed trends from the past 48 hours, where temperatures have climbed steadily from 32–34 °C amid dry continental air masses and minimal moisture advection. Climatologically, early August highs average 32–33 °C, yet the current setup exceeds baseline due to amplified subsidence and surface warming; 35 °C and 37 °C remain plausible if afternoon mixing or slight model spread alters peak readings. Official AEMET updates and real-time station data will refine resolution by evening, with trader consensus reflecting these dynamical factors over historical norms.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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