Recent high-pressure ridging over the South China Sea has promoted clear skies and strong solar heating across Metro Manila, driving afternoon temperatures toward a peak near 36 °C according to the latest PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. This positioning aligns with May climatology, when the region typically records its seasonal maximums under suppressed monsoon flow and elevated heat indices. Official surface observations from the Manila synoptic station, combined with real-time satellite-derived land-surface temperatures, reinforce the market-implied 36 °C outcome at near-certainty. Only an unexpected influx of convective cloud cover or a late-day sea-breeze surge could pull readings below this threshold before sunset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on May 17?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,549 Обс.
$29,549 Обс.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,549 Обс.
$29,549 Обс.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLRecent high-pressure ridging over the South China Sea has promoted clear skies and strong solar heating across Metro Manila, driving afternoon temperatures toward a peak near 36 °C according to the latest PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. This positioning aligns with May climatology, when the region typically records its seasonal maximums under suppressed monsoon flow and elevated heat indices. Official surface observations from the Manila synoptic station, combined with real-time satellite-derived land-surface temperatures, reinforce the market-implied 36 °C outcome at near-certainty. Only an unexpected influx of convective cloud cover or a late-day sea-breeze surge could pull readings below this threshold before sunset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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