Recent PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Manila's May 18 maximum near 34–35 °C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover during the hot-dry season peak. Historical May averages at the Science Garden station hover around 34 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C when humidity stays low and insolation peaks. However, the onset of the southwest monsoon introduces variable afternoon convection that can cap temperatures at 33 °C or below. Traders’ near-even split across 33–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the timing of moisture influx and exact wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official 1:50 p.m. reading at the reference station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on May 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 18?
34°C 36%
35°C 29%
33°C 14%
36°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
14%
34°C
36%
35°C
29%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 36%
35°C 29%
33°C 14%
36°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
29°C or below
$758 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$89 Обс.
1%
31°C
$82 Обс.
3%
32°C
$49 Обс.
3%
33°C
$369 Обс.
14%
34°C
$61 Обс.
36%
35°C
$55 Обс.
29%
36°C
$1 Обс.
10%
37°C
$10 Обс.
3%
38°C
$26 Обс.
1%
39°C or higher
$167 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Manila's May 18 maximum near 34–35 °C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover during the hot-dry season peak. Historical May averages at the Science Garden station hover around 34 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C when humidity stays low and insolation peaks. However, the onset of the southwest monsoon introduces variable afternoon convection that can cap temperatures at 33 °C or below. Traders’ near-even split across 33–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the timing of moisture influx and exact wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official 1:50 p.m. reading at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,488Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Manila's May 18 maximum near 34–35 °C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover during the hot-dry season peak. Historical May averages at the Science Garden station hover around 34 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C when humidity stays low and insolation peaks. However, the onset of the southwest monsoon introduces variable afternoon convection that can cap temperatures at 33 °C or below. Traders’ near-even split across 33–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the timing of moisture influx and exact wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official 1:50 p.m. reading at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,488Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLRecent PAGASA forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Manila's May 18 maximum near 34–35 °C, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover during the hot-dry season peak. Historical May averages at the Science Garden station hover around 34 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C when humidity stays low and insolation peaks. However, the onset of the southwest monsoon introduces variable afternoon convection that can cap temperatures at 33 °C or below. Traders’ near-even split across 33–35 °C reflects uncertainty in the timing of moisture influx and exact wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the official 1:50 p.m. reading at the reference station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання