Recent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,336 Обс.
$44,336 Обс.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,336 Обс.
$44,336 Обс.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,628 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,641 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$1,344 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$3,934 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$2,252 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$4,335 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$4,517 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$6,198 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$6,848 Обс.
100%
27°C
$5,517 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,119 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$44,336Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$44,336Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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