Recent Hydrometeorological Center forecasts for Moscow on May 17 project daytime highs of 24–26 °C under cloudy skies with scattered rain and easterly winds, keeping surface temperatures near the seasonal mean. These model runs align closely with observed conditions and climatological baselines for mid-May, when average maxima hover around 18–20 °C but occasional warm anomalies can reach the mid-20s. The resulting near-certainty of a 26 °C peak reflects consistent observational data and limited variability in steering patterns or solar heating. Only an unexpected rapid clearing combined with stronger insolation could push readings to 27 °C or above, a scenario currently assigned low probability by ensemble guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$45,128 Обс.
$45,128 Обс.
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$45,128 Обс.
$45,128 Обс.
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Hydrometeorological Center forecasts for Moscow on May 17 project daytime highs of 24–26 °C under cloudy skies with scattered rain and easterly winds, keeping surface temperatures near the seasonal mean. These model runs align closely with observed conditions and climatological baselines for mid-May, when average maxima hover around 18–20 °C but occasional warm anomalies can reach the mid-20s. The resulting near-certainty of a 26 °C peak reflects consistent observational data and limited variability in steering patterns or solar heating. Only an unexpected rapid clearing combined with stronger insolation could push readings to 27 °C or above, a scenario currently assigned low probability by ensemble guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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