**Trader sentiment favors an 88-89°F high (57% implied probability) for New York City on June 14, 2026, with 86-87°F close behind at 24.5%.** Official NWS point forecasts and recent model consensus point to a daytime peak near 83-86°F under increasing clouds and southwesterly flow, following a multi-day heat wave that produced 90-plus readings earlier in the period. Modest warm-air advection and limited mixing support temperatures reaching the upper 80s before any afternoon convection or thicker cloud cover develops, keeping 90°F+ outcomes at just 14.5% combined. Historical June climatology in Central Park shows average highs near 80°F, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth tempered by the approaching disturbance. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day thunderstorm initiation will be the key variables that could shift the final official maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on June 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 14?
88-89°F 57%
86-87°F 24%
90-91°F 14%
84-85°F 5.1%
$27,201 Обс.
$27,201 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
57%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 57%
86-87°F 24%
90-91°F 14%
84-85°F 5.1%
$27,201 Обс.
$27,201 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
83°F or below
$2,460 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$3,038 Обс.
5%
86-87°F
$3,276 Обс.
24%
88-89°F
$2,553 Обс.
57%
90-91°F
$6,221 Обс.
14%
92-93°F
$3,874 Обс.
2%
94-95°F
$3,581 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,867 Обс.
<1%
98-99°F
$995 Обс.
<1%
100-101°F
$432 Обс.
<1%
102°F or higher
$401 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment favors an 88-89°F high (57% implied probability) for New York City on June 14, 2026, with 86-87°F close behind at 24.5%.** Official NWS point forecasts and recent model consensus point to a daytime peak near 83-86°F under increasing clouds and southwesterly flow, following a multi-day heat wave that produced 90-plus readings earlier in the period. Modest warm-air advection and limited mixing support temperatures reaching the upper 80s before any afternoon convection or thicker cloud cover develops, keeping 90°F+ outcomes at just 14.5% combined. Historical June climatology in Central Park shows average highs near 80°F, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth tempered by the approaching disturbance. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day thunderstorm initiation will be the key variables that could shift the final official maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$27,201Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment favors an 88-89°F high (57% implied probability) for New York City on June 14, 2026, with 86-87°F close behind at 24.5%.** Official NWS point forecasts and recent model consensus point to a daytime peak near 83-86°F under increasing clouds and southwesterly flow, following a multi-day heat wave that produced 90-plus readings earlier in the period. Modest warm-air advection and limited mixing support temperatures reaching the upper 80s before any afternoon convection or thicker cloud cover develops, keeping 90°F+ outcomes at just 14.5% combined. Historical June climatology in Central Park shows average highs near 80°F, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth tempered by the approaching disturbance. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day thunderstorm initiation will be the key variables that could shift the final official maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,201Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment favors an 88-89°F high (57% implied probability) for New York City on June 14, 2026, with 86-87°F close behind at 24.5%.** Official NWS point forecasts and recent model consensus point to a daytime peak near 83-86°F under increasing clouds and southwesterly flow, following a multi-day heat wave that produced 90-plus readings earlier in the period. Modest warm-air advection and limited mixing support temperatures reaching the upper 80s before any afternoon convection or thicker cloud cover develops, keeping 90°F+ outcomes at just 14.5% combined. Historical June climatology in Central Park shows average highs near 80°F, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth tempered by the approaching disturbance. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day thunderstorm initiation will be the key variables that could shift the final official maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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