National Weather Service ensemble forecasts converge on an 85–88°F peak at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, placing the 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes in a tight race with combined implied probabilities above 75%. Mostly clear skies are maximizing solar insolation and surface heating, while minor model differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of peak insolation among GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions explain the narrow spread separating these bins. Above-normal warmth relative to the May climatological average near 76°F reflects favorable atmospheric conditions, with final confirmation dependent on the day's official high observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 17?
86-87°F 41%
88-89°F 37%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 10.4%
$53,216 Обс.
$53,216 Обс.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 41%
88-89°F 37%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 10.4%
$53,216 Обс.
$53,216 Обс.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
$9,239 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$6,699 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$5,320 Обс.
2%
84-85°F
$5,329 Обс.
15%
86-87°F
$6,188 Обс.
41%
88-89°F
$3,385 Обс.
37%
90-91°F
$4,083 Обс.
10%
92-93°F
$3,094 Обс.
2%
94-95°F
$3,667 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,577 Обс.
<1%
98°F or higher
$3,060 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble forecasts converge on an 85–88°F peak at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, placing the 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes in a tight race with combined implied probabilities above 75%. Mostly clear skies are maximizing solar insolation and surface heating, while minor model differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of peak insolation among GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions explain the narrow spread separating these bins. Above-normal warmth relative to the May climatological average near 76°F reflects favorable atmospheric conditions, with final confirmation dependent on the day's official high observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$53,216Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble forecasts converge on an 85–88°F peak at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, placing the 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes in a tight race with combined implied probabilities above 75%. Mostly clear skies are maximizing solar insolation and surface heating, while minor model differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of peak insolation among GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions explain the narrow spread separating these bins. Above-normal warmth relative to the May climatological average near 76°F reflects favorable atmospheric conditions, with final confirmation dependent on the day's official high observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$53,216Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGANational Weather Service ensemble forecasts converge on an 85–88°F peak at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, placing the 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes in a tight race with combined implied probabilities above 75%. Mostly clear skies are maximizing solar insolation and surface heating, while minor model differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of peak insolation among GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions explain the narrow spread separating these bins. Above-normal warmth relative to the May climatological average near 76°F reflects favorable atmospheric conditions, with final confirmation dependent on the day's official high observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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