Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models like GFS indicate New York City will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s today at LaGuardia Airport, driven by southerly winds and building high pressure that favor daytime warming above seasonal averages near 72°F. This positioning keeps the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets as the clearest market leaders at 44% and 30.5% implied probability, while the 84-85°F range holds secondary support at 21%. Any late-day cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap the peak and shift odds toward lower brackets, though recent model runs show limited disagreement on this outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 17?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 19%
90-91°F 9.4%
$64,698 Обс.
$64,698 Обс.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 19%
90-91°F 9.4%
$64,698 Обс.
$64,698 Обс.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
$9,591 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,065 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$7,793 Обс.
2%
84-85°F
$7,038 Обс.
19%
86-87°F
$6,969 Обс.
45%
88-89°F
$4,265 Обс.
30%
90-91°F
$6,661 Обс.
9%
92-93°F
$4,957 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$3,927 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,739 Обс.
<1%
98°F or higher
$3,141 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models like GFS indicate New York City will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s today at LaGuardia Airport, driven by southerly winds and building high pressure that favor daytime warming above seasonal averages near 72°F. This positioning keeps the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets as the clearest market leaders at 44% and 30.5% implied probability, while the 84-85°F range holds secondary support at 21%. Any late-day cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap the peak and shift odds toward lower brackets, though recent model runs show limited disagreement on this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$64,698Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models like GFS indicate New York City will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s today at LaGuardia Airport, driven by southerly winds and building high pressure that favor daytime warming above seasonal averages near 72°F. This positioning keeps the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets as the clearest market leaders at 44% and 30.5% implied probability, while the 84-85°F range holds secondary support at 21%. Any late-day cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap the peak and shift odds toward lower brackets, though recent model runs show limited disagreement on this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$64,698Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGACurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models like GFS indicate New York City will reach a daily high in the mid to upper 80s today at LaGuardia Airport, driven by southerly winds and building high pressure that favor daytime warming above seasonal averages near 72°F. This positioning keeps the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets as the clearest market leaders at 44% and 30.5% implied probability, while the 84-85°F range holds secondary support at 21%. Any late-day cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could cap the peak and shift odds toward lower brackets, though recent model runs show limited disagreement on this outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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