Recent Météo-France forecasts point to mostly cloudy skies and a stable air mass over Paris today, driven by northerly flow and residual moisture that limits solar heating and caps the daily maximum near 16°C. This setup keeps readings several degrees below the May climatological average of 18–20°C, supporting the market’s leading outcome at 16°C while assigning meaningful probability to 15°C. Model guidance shows limited afternoon warming potential under persistent cloud cover, with only modest chances for brief breaks that could allow a brief rise to 17°C. Traders are closely monitoring any last-minute updates to cloud trends or wind shifts ahead of evening resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 63%
15°C 21%
17°C 20%
18°C 1.0%
$75,349 Обс.
$75,349 Обс.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
21%
16°C
63%
17°C
20%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 63%
15°C 21%
17°C 20%
18°C 1.0%
$75,349 Обс.
$75,349 Обс.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
21%
16°C
63%
17°C
20%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Météo-France forecasts point to mostly cloudy skies and a stable air mass over Paris today, driven by northerly flow and residual moisture that limits solar heating and caps the daily maximum near 16°C. This setup keeps readings several degrees below the May climatological average of 18–20°C, supporting the market’s leading outcome at 16°C while assigning meaningful probability to 15°C. Model guidance shows limited afternoon warming potential under persistent cloud cover, with only modest chances for brief breaks that could allow a brief rise to 17°C. Traders are closely monitoring any last-minute updates to cloud trends or wind shifts ahead of evening resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання