Recent numerical weather models show Qingdao’s May 18 maximum temperature most likely settling at 19–21 °C, shaped by moderate southerly flow and the persistent cooling influence of below-average Yellow Sea surface temperatures. This marine moderation, common for the coastal station during mid-May’s transitional regime, caps afternoon peaks near the long-term climatological mean of roughly 20 °C while creating modest spread across ensemble runs. Trader positioning mirrors this narrow uncertainty band, with the three leading outcomes together capturing nearly 70 percent implied probability as official China Meteorological Administration observations approach.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 18?
20°C 29%
21°C 26%
19°C 22%
22°C 13%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
22%
20°C
29%
21°C
26%
22°C
13%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
3%
20°C 29%
21°C 26%
19°C 22%
22°C 13%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
22%
20°C
29%
21°C
26%
22°C
13%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDRecent numerical weather models show Qingdao’s May 18 maximum temperature most likely settling at 19–21 °C, shaped by moderate southerly flow and the persistent cooling influence of below-average Yellow Sea surface temperatures. This marine moderation, common for the coastal station during mid-May’s transitional regime, caps afternoon peaks near the long-term climatological mean of roughly 20 °C while creating modest spread across ensemble runs. Trader positioning mirrors this narrow uncertainty band, with the three leading outcomes together capturing nearly 70 percent implied probability as official China Meteorological Administration observations approach.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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