Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 9?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 9?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,661 Обс.
$52,661 Обс.
Jun 9, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,661 Обс.
$52,661 Обс.
Jun 9, 2026
19°C or below
$1,401 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,796 Обс.
No
21°C
$646 Обс.
No
22°C
$4,686 Обс.
No
23°C
$19,597 Обс.
No
24°C
$9,518 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$3,549 Обс.
No
26°C
$6,650 Обс.
No
27°C
$2,907 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,098 Обс.
No
29°C or higher
$811 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$52,661Дата завершення
Jun 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$52,661Дата завершення
Jun 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official meteorological stations in Sao Paulo recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on June 9, establishing the outcome that now carries a 100% market-implied probability. This reading reflects standard winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where subtropical high pressure and reduced solar insolation typically limit highs to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. No anomalous warm-air advection or urban heat-island effects pushed readings higher, and model consensus from regional forecasts aligned closely with the eventual observation. While final quality-controlled data from Brazil’s national weather service could theoretically be revised, historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for urban stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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