Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Seoul on May 17, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast of clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit afternoon warming. Official observations place the daytime maximum near this threshold, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when Seoul’s average high hovers around 24–26°C before the summer monsoon begins. Model consensus from regional ensembles shows minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover expected to alter surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in solar radiation or localized urban heat-island effects pushing readings above 25°C, though current surface data and satellite imagery indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$231,553 Обс.
$231,553 Обс.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$231,553 Обс.
$231,553 Обс.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITraders have overwhelmingly converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Seoul on May 17, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast of clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit afternoon warming. Official observations place the daytime maximum near this threshold, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when Seoul’s average high hovers around 24–26°C before the summer monsoon begins. Model consensus from regional ensembles shows minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover expected to alter surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in solar radiation or localized urban heat-island effects pushing readings above 25°C, though current surface data and satellite imagery indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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