Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles has converged on a daily maximum of 27°C in Shenzhen, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions over the Pearl River Delta, combined with light easterly winds and partial cloud cover, are moderating daytime heating close to mid-May climatological norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, with resolution criteria tied to the exact recorded high. Minor shifts in shower timing, increased humidity, or localized urban heat-island effects could still push the observed peak 1°C higher or lower before the close of the trading day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
21°C or below <1%
$49,448 Обс.
$49,448 Обс.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
21°C or below <1%
$49,448 Обс.
$49,448 Обс.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,761 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,788 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$2,875 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$5,998 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,854 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$5,469 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$11,147 Обс.
100%
28°C
$5,424 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$4,813 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$2,279 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$5,040 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles has converged on a daily maximum of 27°C in Shenzhen, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions over the Pearl River Delta, combined with light easterly winds and partial cloud cover, are moderating daytime heating close to mid-May climatological norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, with resolution criteria tied to the exact recorded high. Minor shifts in shower timing, increased humidity, or localized urban heat-island effects could still push the observed peak 1°C higher or lower before the close of the trading day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$49,448Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles has converged on a daily maximum of 27°C in Shenzhen, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions over the Pearl River Delta, combined with light easterly winds and partial cloud cover, are moderating daytime heating close to mid-May climatological norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, with resolution criteria tied to the exact recorded high. Minor shifts in shower timing, increased humidity, or localized urban heat-island effects could still push the observed peak 1°C higher or lower before the close of the trading day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$49,448Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles has converged on a daily maximum of 27°C in Shenzhen, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions over the Pearl River Delta, combined with light easterly winds and partial cloud cover, are moderating daytime heating close to mid-May climatological norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, with resolution criteria tied to the exact recorded high. Minor shifts in shower timing, increased humidity, or localized urban heat-island effects could still push the observed peak 1°C higher or lower before the close of the trading day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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