Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles point to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 18, suppressing solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s daytime high near 27–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 28°C, 27°C, and 29°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited daytime warming amid high humidity and reduced insolation typical of the region’s early wet-season transition. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns favor moderation over the stronger heating seen earlier in the month. Updated short-range model runs and official station observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
28°C 30%
27°C 27%
29°C 25%
30°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
27%
28°C
30%
29°C
25%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 30%
27°C 27%
29°C 25%
30°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$592 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$273 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$385 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$948 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$292 Обс.
3%
27°C
$736 Обс.
27%
28°C
$418 Обс.
30%
29°C
$363 Обс.
25%
30°C
$485 Обс.
11%
31°C
$297 Обс.
2%
32°C or higher
$487 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles point to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 18, suppressing solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s daytime high near 27–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 28°C, 27°C, and 29°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited daytime warming amid high humidity and reduced insolation typical of the region’s early wet-season transition. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns favor moderation over the stronger heating seen earlier in the month. Updated short-range model runs and official station observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,275Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles point to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 18, suppressing solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s daytime high near 27–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 28°C, 27°C, and 29°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited daytime warming amid high humidity and reduced insolation typical of the region’s early wet-season transition. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns favor moderation over the stronger heating seen earlier in the month. Updated short-range model runs and official station observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,275Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZForecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles point to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 18, suppressing solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s daytime high near 27–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 28°C, 27°C, and 29°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited daytime warming amid high humidity and reduced insolation typical of the region’s early wet-season transition. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns favor moderation over the stronger heating seen earlier in the month. Updated short-range model runs and official station observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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