Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on May 15?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 15?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,570 Обс.
$94,570 Обс.
May 15, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,570 Обс.
$94,570 Обс.
May 15, 2026
23°C or below
$1,651 Обс.
No
24°C
$1,417 Обс.
No
25°C
$897 Обс.
No
26°C
$1,094 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,767 Обс.
No
28°C
$2,878 Обс.
No
29°C
$27,748 Обс.
Yes
30°C
$19,991 Обс.
No
31°C
$15,095 Обс.
No
32°C
$10,263 Обс.
No
33°C or higher
$11,770 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$94,570Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$94,570Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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