Recent forecast guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum near 32 °C on May 18, driven by typical mid-May equatorial conditions with scattered afternoon thundery showers that limit surface heating while maintaining high humidity. Model consensus favors this outcome over higher readings because increased cloud cover and precipitation timing should cap temperatures below the 34 °C threshold seen earlier in the month. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 31–32 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model output. The market’s elevated implied probability for 32 °C reflects traders’ assessment of these near-term meteorological signals, with the next official forecast update expected to refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on May 18?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 18?
32°C 39%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
34°C or higher 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
20%
32°C
39%
33°C
27%
34°C or higher
10%
32°C 39%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
34°C or higher 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
$678 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$534 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$548 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$396 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$413 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$656 Обс.
3%
30°C
$594 Обс.
8%
31°C
$289 Обс.
20%
32°C
$323 Обс.
39%
33°C
$355 Обс.
27%
34°C or higher
$508 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum near 32 °C on May 18, driven by typical mid-May equatorial conditions with scattered afternoon thundery showers that limit surface heating while maintaining high humidity. Model consensus favors this outcome over higher readings because increased cloud cover and precipitation timing should cap temperatures below the 34 °C threshold seen earlier in the month. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 31–32 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model output. The market’s elevated implied probability for 32 °C reflects traders’ assessment of these near-term meteorological signals, with the next official forecast update expected to refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,294Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum near 32 °C on May 18, driven by typical mid-May equatorial conditions with scattered afternoon thundery showers that limit surface heating while maintaining high humidity. Model consensus favors this outcome over higher readings because increased cloud cover and precipitation timing should cap temperatures below the 34 °C threshold seen earlier in the month. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 31–32 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model output. The market’s elevated implied probability for 32 °C reflects traders’ assessment of these near-term meteorological signals, with the next official forecast update expected to refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,294Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSRecent forecast guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum near 32 °C on May 18, driven by typical mid-May equatorial conditions with scattered afternoon thundery showers that limit surface heating while maintaining high humidity. Model consensus favors this outcome over higher readings because increased cloud cover and precipitation timing should cap temperatures below the 34 °C threshold seen earlier in the month. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 31–32 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model output. The market’s elevated implied probability for 32 °C reflects traders’ assessment of these near-term meteorological signals, with the next official forecast update expected to refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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