Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting regional models point to a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions ahead of the Meiyu front. This strong alignment of official guidance and model consensus underpins the market-implied odds of essentially 100% for a 31°C high at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, reflecting trader confidence in stable atmospheric patterns. Historical May averages around 28–29°C provide climatological context, yet today’s setup favors modest warming without significant convective disruption. An unexpected increase in afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in steering winds could realistically cap the peak at 30°C or nudge it to 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,727 Обс.
$111,727 Обс.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,727 Обс.
$111,727 Обс.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,818 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,853 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,227 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$3,535 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$3,351 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$5,793 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$4,850 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$60,918 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$8,881 Обс.
100%
32°C
$8,086 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$11,416 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting regional models point to a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions ahead of the Meiyu front. This strong alignment of official guidance and model consensus underpins the market-implied odds of essentially 100% for a 31°C high at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, reflecting trader confidence in stable atmospheric patterns. Historical May averages around 28–29°C provide climatological context, yet today’s setup favors modest warming without significant convective disruption. An unexpected increase in afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in steering winds could realistically cap the peak at 30°C or nudge it to 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$111,727Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting regional models point to a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions ahead of the Meiyu front. This strong alignment of official guidance and model consensus underpins the market-implied odds of essentially 100% for a 31°C high at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, reflecting trader confidence in stable atmospheric patterns. Historical May averages around 28–29°C provide climatological context, yet today’s setup favors modest warming without significant convective disruption. An unexpected increase in afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in steering winds could realistically cap the peak at 30°C or nudge it to 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$111,727Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting regional models point to a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions ahead of the Meiyu front. This strong alignment of official guidance and model consensus underpins the market-implied odds of essentially 100% for a 31°C high at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, reflecting trader confidence in stable atmospheric patterns. Historical May averages around 28–29°C provide climatological context, yet today’s setup favors modest warming without significant convective disruption. An unexpected increase in afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in steering winds could realistically cap the peak at 30°C or nudge it to 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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