Recent numerical weather models from sources like NOAA and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15 most likely near 28–29°C, driven by typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate high pressure, limited cloud cover, and a sea breeze that caps afternoon peaks. Small differences between these outcomes hinge on precise forecast details such as the exact timing and strength of onshore flow, boundary-layer mixing, and any minor convective development, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical June averages at Ben Gurion Airport hover around 29–30°C, placing the current setup near or slightly below climatology and explaining the tight market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely clarify whether peak heating reaches 29°C or remains capped at 28°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
28°C 46%
29°C 43%
30°C 6.0%
27°C 5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
46%
29°C
43%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 43%
30°C 6.0%
27°C 5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
46%
29°C
43%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from sources like NOAA and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15 most likely near 28–29°C, driven by typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate high pressure, limited cloud cover, and a sea breeze that caps afternoon peaks. Small differences between these outcomes hinge on precise forecast details such as the exact timing and strength of onshore flow, boundary-layer mixing, and any minor convective development, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical June averages at Ben Gurion Airport hover around 29–30°C, placing the current setup near or slightly below climatology and explaining the tight market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely clarify whether peak heating reaches 29°C or remains capped at 28°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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