Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service point to a pronounced heatwave over Tel Aviv on May 17, with maximum temperatures expected to reach or surpass 35 °C amid southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation across the eastern Mediterranean. This setup underpins the market’s 100 % consensus on the 35 °C-or-higher outcome, as traders incorporate the latest high-resolution model runs and historical May baselines that normally peak near 27 °C. Official daily maximum readings at central Tel Aviv stations will determine resolution. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unanticipated strengthening of the sea breeze or rapid afternoon cloud build-up, both of which would need to develop quickly to keep the peak below the threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,634 Обс.
$74,634 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,634 Обс.
$74,634 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$10,490 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,780 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$4,332 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$2,408 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$4,369 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$4,203 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$8,955 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$7,971 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$9,135 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$17,270 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service point to a pronounced heatwave over Tel Aviv on May 17, with maximum temperatures expected to reach or surpass 35 °C amid southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation across the eastern Mediterranean. This setup underpins the market’s 100 % consensus on the 35 °C-or-higher outcome, as traders incorporate the latest high-resolution model runs and historical May baselines that normally peak near 27 °C. Official daily maximum readings at central Tel Aviv stations will determine resolution. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unanticipated strengthening of the sea breeze or rapid afternoon cloud build-up, both of which would need to develop quickly to keep the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$74,634Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service point to a pronounced heatwave over Tel Aviv on May 17, with maximum temperatures expected to reach or surpass 35 °C amid southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation across the eastern Mediterranean. This setup underpins the market’s 100 % consensus on the 35 °C-or-higher outcome, as traders incorporate the latest high-resolution model runs and historical May baselines that normally peak near 27 °C. Official daily maximum readings at central Tel Aviv stations will determine resolution. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unanticipated strengthening of the sea breeze or rapid afternoon cloud build-up, both of which would need to develop quickly to keep the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$74,634Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent meteorological conditions and forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service point to a pronounced heatwave over Tel Aviv on May 17, with maximum temperatures expected to reach or surpass 35 °C amid southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation across the eastern Mediterranean. This setup underpins the market’s 100 % consensus on the 35 °C-or-higher outcome, as traders incorporate the latest high-resolution model runs and historical May baselines that normally peak near 27 °C. Official daily maximum readings at central Tel Aviv stations will determine resolution. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unanticipated strengthening of the sea breeze or rapid afternoon cloud build-up, both of which would need to develop quickly to keep the peak below the threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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