Strong high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean is driving intense daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain today, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models projecting afternoon maxima well above the 26–28 °C climatological baseline. Clear skies, light winds, and minimal sea-breeze suppression have allowed rapid surface warming from recent 24–25 °C readings, producing the market’s 100 % implied probability for a 35 °C or higher peak at Ben Gurion International Airport. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through sunset; any unexpected onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could cap temperatures below that threshold, though current model consensus shows little support for such moderation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,594 Обс.
$74,594 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,594 Обс.
$74,594 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$10,490 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,780 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$4,332 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$2,408 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$4,369 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$4,203 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$8,955 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$7,931 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$9,135 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$17,270 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean is driving intense daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain today, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models projecting afternoon maxima well above the 26–28 °C climatological baseline. Clear skies, light winds, and minimal sea-breeze suppression have allowed rapid surface warming from recent 24–25 °C readings, producing the market’s 100 % implied probability for a 35 °C or higher peak at Ben Gurion International Airport. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through sunset; any unexpected onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could cap temperatures below that threshold, though current model consensus shows little support for such moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$74,594Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean is driving intense daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain today, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models projecting afternoon maxima well above the 26–28 °C climatological baseline. Clear skies, light winds, and minimal sea-breeze suppression have allowed rapid surface warming from recent 24–25 °C readings, producing the market’s 100 % implied probability for a 35 °C or higher peak at Ben Gurion International Airport. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through sunset; any unexpected onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could cap temperatures below that threshold, though current model consensus shows little support for such moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$74,594Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETStrong high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean is driving intense daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain today, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models projecting afternoon maxima well above the 26–28 °C climatological baseline. Clear skies, light winds, and minimal sea-breeze suppression have allowed rapid surface warming from recent 24–25 °C readings, producing the market’s 100 % implied probability for a 35 °C or higher peak at Ben Gurion International Airport. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through sunset; any unexpected onshore flow or earlier cloud cover could cap temperatures below that threshold, though current model consensus shows little support for such moderation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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