Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station will reach 28 °C on May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and intense solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May highs around 23–26 °C, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28 °C. Traders weigh the limited remaining window for forecast revisions before the daily peak is recorded. Unanticipated cloud cover or a sudden shift in steering winds could still alter the outcome, though current observational data show minimal deviation risk.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 Обс.
$88,867 Обс.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 Обс.
$88,867 Обс.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,893 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$819 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$5,290 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$8,445 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$7,219 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$10,417 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$10,583 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$19,728 Обс.
100%
29°C
$11,061 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$10,387 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station will reach 28 °C on May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and intense solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May highs around 23–26 °C, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28 °C. Traders weigh the limited remaining window for forecast revisions before the daily peak is recorded. Unanticipated cloud cover or a sudden shift in steering winds could still alter the outcome, though current observational data show minimal deviation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$88,867Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station will reach 28 °C on May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and intense solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May highs around 23–26 °C, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28 °C. Traders weigh the limited remaining window for forecast revisions before the daily peak is recorded. Unanticipated cloud cover or a sudden shift in steering winds could still alter the outcome, though current observational data show minimal deviation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$88,867Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station will reach 28 °C on May 17, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and intense solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for mid-May highs around 23–26 °C, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for exactly 28 °C. Traders weigh the limited remaining window for forecast revisions before the daily peak is recorded. Unanticipated cloud cover or a sudden shift in steering winds could still alter the outcome, though current observational data show minimal deviation risk.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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