Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds that favor 28–30°C as the most likely peak. Ensemble model spreads from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture advection, which could cap readings at 27–29°C if showers develop earlier or allow 31–32°C under stronger southerly flow. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, underscoring how this warm anomaly reflects current atmospheric conditions ahead of resolution based on the official Toronto Pearson station observation. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on May 19?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 19?
28°C 31%
29°C 24%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
31%
29°C
24%
30°C
9%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 31%
29°C 24%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
22°C or below
$120 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$29 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$15 Обс.
2%
25°C
$0 Обс.
5%
26°C
$0 Обс.
4%
27°C
$0 Обс.
12%
28°C
$0 Обс.
31%
29°C
$0 Обс.
24%
30°C
$3 Обс.
9%
31°C
$0 Обс.
7%
32°C or higher
$10 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds that favor 28–30°C as the most likely peak. Ensemble model spreads from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture advection, which could cap readings at 27–29°C if showers develop earlier or allow 31–32°C under stronger southerly flow. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, underscoring how this warm anomaly reflects current atmospheric conditions ahead of resolution based on the official Toronto Pearson station observation. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$174Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds that favor 28–30°C as the most likely peak. Ensemble model spreads from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture advection, which could cap readings at 27–29°C if showers develop earlier or allow 31–32°C under stronger southerly flow. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, underscoring how this warm anomaly reflects current atmospheric conditions ahead of resolution based on the official Toronto Pearson station observation. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$174Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds that favor 28–30°C as the most likely peak. Ensemble model spreads from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture advection, which could cap readings at 27–29°C if showers develop earlier or allow 31–32°C under stronger southerly flow. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, underscoring how this warm anomaly reflects current atmospheric conditions ahead of resolution based on the official Toronto Pearson station observation. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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