Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,504 Обс.
$49,504 Обс.
May 17, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,504 Обс.
$49,504 Обс.
May 17, 2026
5°C or below
$660 Обс.
<1%
6°C
$979 Обс.
<1%
7°C
$435 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$683 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$1,131 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$4,426 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$10,585 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$4,844 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$9,768 Обс.
100%
14°C
$8,029 Обс.
<1%
15°C or higher
$8,014 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$49,504Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$49,504Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAEnsemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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