Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies have converged on a daily maximum of exactly 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow beneath a subtropical ridge that supports gradual daytime warming under partial cloud cover. This consensus from short-range forecasts, which achieve highest accuracy within 24–48 hours, underpins the market’s near-certain positioning at 28°C. Historical May climatology for the region, with average highs near 26–28°C, further aligns with current conditions. Only a rapid shift in local wind patterns or unforecast convective activity could alter the outcome before official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport finalize the reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$56,000 Обс.
$56,000 Обс.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
$56,000 Обс.
$56,000 Обс.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHNumerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies have converged on a daily maximum of exactly 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow beneath a subtropical ridge that supports gradual daytime warming under partial cloud cover. This consensus from short-range forecasts, which achieve highest accuracy within 24–48 hours, underpins the market’s near-certain positioning at 28°C. Historical May climatology for the region, with average highs near 26–28°C, further aligns with current conditions. Only a rapid shift in local wind patterns or unforecast convective activity could alter the outcome before official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport finalize the reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання