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icon for Likud Party Primary Winner

Likud Party Primary Winner

icon for Likud Party Primary Winner

Likud Party Primary Winner

Amir Ohana 81%

Tally Gotliv 5.9%

Yariv Levin 5.9%

Eli Cohen 5.1%

Polymarket

$60,775 Обс.

Amir Ohana 81%

Tally Gotliv 5.9%

Yariv Levin 5.9%

Eli Cohen 5.1%

Polymarket

$60,775 Обс.

icon for Amir Ohana

Amir Ohana

$19,298 Обс.

81%

icon for Tally Gotliv

Tally Gotliv

$13,081 Обс.

6%

icon for Yariv Levin

Yariv Levin

$3,909 Обс.

6%

icon for Eli Cohen

Eli Cohen

$1,556 Обс.

5%

icon for No Primary by Knesset Election

No Primary by Knesset Election

$9,710 Обс.

3%

icon for Boaz Bismuth

Boaz Bismuth

$1,287 Обс.

1%

icon for Miri Regev

Miri Regev

$655 Обс.

1%

icon for Shlomo Karhi

Shlomo Karhi

$1,016 Обс.

1%

icon for Moshe Saada

Moshe Saada

$882 Обс.

1%

icon for David Amsalem

David Amsalem

$832 Обс.

1%

icon for Almog Cohen

Almog Cohen

$909 Обс.

1%

icon for Amichai Chikli

Amichai Chikli

$910 Обс.

1%

icon for Israel Katz

Israel Katz

$2,245 Обс.

<1%

icon for Nir Barkat

Nir Barkat

$2,180 Обс.

<1%

icon for Yoav Kisch

Yoav Kisch

$841 Обс.

<1%

icon for Miki Zohar

Miki Zohar

$667 Обс.

<1%

icon for David Bitan

David Bitan

$800 Обс.

<1%

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana leads Likud’s internal primary for Knesset slate positions, scheduled for August 17, 2026, ahead of the October legislative election. Netanyahu’s recent expansion of reserved slots among the top 30 candidates has intensified competition for the remaining open spots while an internal party poll placed Ohana, Tally Gotliv, and Miri Regev among the strongest contenders. Party members, numbering roughly 140,000, vote directly for most list placements, and a court ruling barring incumbents from certain district races has further shaped the field. Trader consensus reflects Ohana’s established position within the party and consistent polling strength, while lower-priced alternatives such as Yariv Levin and several ministers trail amid these procedural changes and the primary’s imminent resolution.

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.

If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".

If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Обсяг
$60,775
Дата завершення
Oct 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana leads Likud’s internal primary for Knesset slate positions, scheduled for August 17, 2026, ahead of the October legislative election. Netanyahu’s recent expansion of reserved slots among the top 30 candidates has intensified competition for the remaining open spots while an internal party poll placed Ohana, Tally Gotliv, and Miri Regev among the strongest contenders. Party members, numbering roughly 140,000, vote directly for most list placements, and a court ruling barring incumbents from certain district races has further shaped the field. Trader consensus reflects Ohana’s established position within the party and consistent polling strength, while lower-priced alternatives such as Yariv Levin and several ministers trail amid these procedural changes and the primary’s imminent resolution.

Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.

If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".

If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Обсяг
$60,775
Дата завершення
Oct 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections. If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election". If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Likud Party Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Amir Ohana» з 81%, далі «Tally Gotliv» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Likud Party Primary Winner» згенерував $60.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 21, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Likud Party Primary Winner», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Likud Party Primary Winner» — «Amir Ohana» з 81%. Наступний — «Tally Gotliv» з 6%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Likud Party Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.